Sunday, February 15, 2026, is starting off gray and soggy across Memphis, with light rain and temperatures in the mid 50s already on the move through the area. Showers are expected to hang around into early afternoon, and the high should top out near 58°F, with north-northeast winds running 10 to 15 mph. Drivers are in for a slow, slick commute and some water pooling in the usual low spots.
When the Heaviest Rain Rolls Through
Rain showers will be most widespread through late morning, with the steadier band wrapping up by early afternoon. The city itself can expect roughly a half to three-quarters of an inch of rain, while a corridor along and north of I-40 could pick up 1 to 2 inches. North-northeast winds will hover around 10 to 15 mph, with gusts reaching up to 30 mph today. The system is expected to exit tonight, and forecasters are calling for a warming trend into next week, with highs rising into the 60s on Monday and into the mid 70s by Wednesday. According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, the chance of precipitation this morning is near certain, and new rainfall amounts may be locally heavy.
Flooding Risk and Local Preparedness
Brief heavy downpours can still trigger urban and small-stream flooding even when totals do not sound extreme, so officials are urging drivers to avoid rolling the dice with standing water and to give low-lying, flood-prone streets extra space. Residents are reminded to follow the Turn Around, Don’t Drown guidance and to check local resources if flooding creeps into the neighborhood. The Shelby County Office of Preparedness offers preparedness tips and local contact information.
Wind and Travel Advice
North-northeast winds today will run 10 to 15 mph in Memphis, with gusts as high as 30 mph, and some guidance shows a brief window where gusts could spike to 35 to 40 mph for a few hours south of the city. Lightweight outdoor items may need to be tied down or brought in, and drivers should ease off the gas on wet bridges and overpasses, where gusts and slick pavement make a less-than-ideal combo. Extra following distance and an eye out for sudden ponding in low spots will go a long way. According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, mesoscale pressure features could briefly enhance gusts across parts of the region.
What’s Next
The system should shift east by this evening, opening the door to drier and noticeably warmer air next week. Highs are expected to climb into the 60s on Monday and could reach the low to mid 70s by Wednesday. This story updates earlier reporting; see our soaking rains and whipping winds coverage for background and additional timing details.
