Raleigh is waking up Tuesday to a mild, muggy start, with temperatures in the mid 50s and patchy clouds hanging around. That calm start will not last long. A strong warm up is on deck this afternoon, with highs climbing to about 82°F and another surge into the mid 80s on Wednesday. Nights stay unusually mild, generally holding in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Afternoon Heat And Record Chances
Rising mid level ridging and a weak surface high are teaming up to push temperatures well above normal, and that combo could put daily highs and overnight lows near record territory at RDU, GSO and FAY. The risk of record readings is highest today and Wednesday as sunshine pairs with that warm air mass. According to the National Weather Service Raleigh, some records may be met or even exceeded.
Thursday Front And Commuter Impacts
A strong cold front will sweep through on Thursday, breaking the early week heat and bringing a round of rain showers after mid morning along with a low end threat for strong to severe storms mainly across southeast counties. Forecasters expect the main band of showers to arrive Thursday morning into the afternoon. Rain totals will generally be a few tenths of an inch, with a half to three quarters of an inch possible in heavier bands. Plan on a wet commute and gusty winds with the front, and cooler high temperatures returning Friday, according to the National Weather Service Raleigh.
Weekend And Next Week
Temperatures rebound over the weekend, with highs back in the 70s that will feel pretty comfortable after Thursday's shake up. Another system approaches Sunday night into Monday and could bring more showers and thunderstorms, along with another low end severe threat mainly across the southeast. If timing and low level moisture line up, a few stronger storms are possible ahead of a much colder push. Behind that system, highs may tumble into the 40s early next week, so anyone banking on an early spring might want to keep the heavier jacket close.
Plan Ahead
Patchy fog is possible Wednesday morning and could slow the commute, so leaving a little extra travel time for early drives would not hurt. Enjoy the warm afternoons while they last, but carry layers for the post front chill and keep rain gear handy for Thursday and Sunday night. Check the National Weather Service for the latest updates and make sure phone alerts are enabled before you head out.
