Clouds are hanging over Nashville this morning with temperatures in the mid‑40s, but the chill will not last long. Highs climb into the upper 60s Sunday, March 1, 2026, before a weak front slips through and brings a chance of showers late tonight. After what could be a damp start to Monday, the pattern flips warmer and breezier by midweek, with scattered storms lurking by Thursday and Friday.
When Rain Arrives
A disturbance riding along a weak front will bump up rain chances after about 10 p.m. Sunday, March 1, and into the Monday morning commute on March 2. Most spots are looking at light totals, generally under a tenth of an inch, with the northern two‑thirds of Middle Tennessee most likely to pick up measurable rain and the southern third seeing lower odds, according to the National Weather Service in Nashville.
Commute And Outdoor Plans
Headed out Sunday evening? Toss a light rain jacket in the car. Wet roads and reduced visibility are possible after 10 p.m. and into early Monday, especially across the northern counties. Outdoor events later in the week should benefit from warm afternoons, but it is a good idea to secure lightweight items before gusty southerly winds crank up Tuesday and again later in the week.
Warm, Gusty Week Ahead
By Tuesday, March 3, 2026, a steady southerly flow will push highs into the mid‑ to upper‑70s, approaching 80 by Friday, March 6. South winds of 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to around 25 mph at times, will add some extra punch. That early‑March warmth will also boost thunderstorm potential from Wednesday through Saturday. Local coverage has spotlighted the chance of multiple storm rounds early in the month, with heavier rain possibly zeroing in on northwest counties by next weekend; see WSMV for more.
Bottom Line
Soak up a mild Sunday, but have rain gear handy for late tonight into Monday morning in parts of the region. Check the National Weather Service for updates before heading out, and consider an umbrella for the Monday commute. Tie down or bring in loose outdoor items before Tuesday’s gusty southerly winds pick up. No watches or warnings are in effect at this time.
